Sunday, May 17, 2009

NL Standings by Wins Above Replacement

Here are the NL standings based on Wins Above Replacement. As with the American League, replacement level is set to a .296 winning percentage, or 48 wins over 162 games.

TEAM Position Player Wins Pitcher Wins Total Wins Games Played Expected Wins Expected Losses Expected Games Back Actual Wins Difference
NEW YORK 5.4 4.5 9.9 36 20.56 15.44 0 21 0.44
ATLANTA 3.2 5.3 8.5 36 19.16 16.84 1.4 18 -1.16
PHILADELPHIA 6.3 -0.1 6.2 35 16.56 18.44 3.5 19 2.44
WASHINGTON 5 0.1 5.1 35 15.46 19.54 4.6 11 -4.46
FLORIDA 1.1 3.9 5 35 15.36 19.64 4.7 18 2.64










TEAM Position Player Wins Pitcher Wins Total Wins Games Played Expected Wins Expected Losses Expected Games Back Actual Wins Difference
MILWAUKEE 6.7 3.5 10.2 36 20.86 15.14 0 22 1.14
CINCINNATI 4.4 3.7 8.1 36 18.76 17.24 2.1 21 2.24
ST. LOUIS 4.6 3.4 8 36 18.66 17.34 2.2 21 2.34
CHICAGO 4 3 7 35 17.36 17.64 3 20 2.64
PITTSBURGH 4.7 2.1 6.8 36 17.46 18.54 3.4 15 -2.46
HOUSTON 3.5 2.2 5.7 35 16.06 18.94 4.3 16 -0.06










TEAM Position Player Wins Pitcher Wins Total Wins Games Played Expected Wins Expected Losses Expected Games Back Actual Wins Difference
LOS ANGELES 6.6 5.2 11.8 38 23.05 14.95 0 25 1.95
COLORADO 3.1 4.6 7.7 35 18.06 16.94 3.49 14 -4.06
ARIZONA 1.3 4.5 5.8 37 16.75 20.25 5.8 14 -2.75
SAN FRANCISCO 0.7 4.7 5.4 36 16.06 19.94 5.99 18 1.94
SAN DIEGO 3.5 1.4 4.9 37 15.85 21.15 6.7 15 -0.85

Notes:
AL -
Best Team: Toronto (+13.8)
Worst Team: Oakland (+2.8)
"Luckiest" Team (Actual Wins - Expected Wins): Boston (+1.25)
"Unluckiest" Team: Cleveland (-5.35)

NL-
Best Team: Los Angeles (+11.8)
Worst Team: San Diego (+4.9)
"Luckiest" Teams: Florida and Chicago (+2.64)
"Unluckiest" Team: Washington (-4.46)

I plan on updating every Sunday to coincide with FanGraph's UZR updates. Any comments are appreciated.


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